প্রকাশ: 06/03/2022
Led by a surge in
vegetable oils and dairy products, global food prices hit a record high in
February, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) says.
The UN agency's food price index, which tracks the most
globally traded food commodities, averaged 140.7 points last month – nearly four
percent up from January.
This is also 24.1 percent over the level a year earlier and
3.1 points higher than in February 2011.
"Concerns over crop conditions and adequate export
availability explain only a part of the current global food price increases. A
much bigger push for food price inflation comes from outside food production,
particularly the energy, fertiliser and feed sectors," said FAO economist
Upali Galketi Aratchilage Friday.
"All these factors tend to squeeze profit margins of
food producers, discouraging them from investing and expanding
production."
As the Food Price Index measures average prices over the
month, the February reading only partly incorporates market effects stemming
from the conflict in Ukraine.
The forecast does not assume potential impacts from the
conflict in Ukraine, and FAO is closely monitoring the developments and will
assess impacts in due course.
However, the head of the International Fund for Agricultural
Development (IFAD) highlighted how the crisis in Ukraine could impact global
food security.
IFAD President Gilbert F Houngbo said the continuation of
the conflict, which is already a tragedy for those directly involved, will be
catastrophic for the entire world, particularly for people already struggling
to feed their families.
He warned that the fighting could limit the world's supply
of staple crops like wheat, corn and sunflower oil, resulting in skyrocketing
food prices and hunger. This could jeopardise global food security and heighten
geopolitical tensions.
"This area of the Black Sea plays a major role in the
global food system, exporting at least 12 percent of the food calories traded
in the world," said Houngbo.
"Forty per cent of wheat and corn exports from Ukraine
go to the Middle East and Africa, which are already grappling with hunger
issues, and where further food shortages or price increases could stoke social
unrest."
The overall rise last month was driven by an 8.5 percent
increase in the FAO Vegetable Oils Price Index, a new record high.
This was mostly due to sustained global import demand, which
coincided with a few supply-side factors, such as lower soybean production
prospects in South America.
The Dairy Price Index averaged 6.4 percent higher in
February than January, supported by lower-than-expected milk supplies in
Western Europe and Oceania, as well as persistent import demand, especially
from North Asia and the Middle East.
Last month, the Cereal Price Index increased 3.0 percent
over January.
Contributing factors included rising quotations for maize
and other coarse grains, caused by continued concerns over crop conditions in
South America, uncertainty about maize exports from Ukraine, and rising wheat
export prices.
Strong global import demand contributed to the 1.1 percent
rise in the Meat Price Index.
Other factors included tight supplies of slaughter-ready
cattle in Brazil and high demand for herd rebuilding in Australia.
The FAO Sugar Price Index declined by nearly 2 percent amid
favourable production prospects in India, Thailand and other major exporters,
as well as improved growing conditions in Brazil.
FAO also published a preliminary forecast that shows
worldwide cereal output is on course to increase to 790 million tonnes this
year.
The agency updated its forecast for world cereal production
in 2021, which is now pegged at 2,796 million tonnes, a 0.7 percent increase
from the year before.
The forecast for world trade in cereals was also raised to
484 million tonnes, up nearly one percent from the 2020/2021 level.
-UNB
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