Why, when and how Awami League loses

On the 16th anniversary of One-Eleven, the political arena of the country was abuzz. BNP has done a countrywide sit-in protest program and Awami League has remained vigilant. There has been massive public suffering in these programs during working days. But still there was a sense of relief in the public mind. Common people want peace. They want to do their work properly. Therefore, any political program spreads panic among the public. Lately, the confusion within the BNP has become evident. On December 24 of the outgoing year, the BNP announced the program of the mass rally. The date of Awami League council session on that day was fixed long ago. Then they fix another date 30th December for mass rally. On Wednesday (January 11), BNP held a sit-in protest program. This time, however, not only BNP, but various parties and alliances have declared solidarity with BNP and stayed at different places in Dhaka. BNP, however, also held this program in their 10 organizational divisions outside Dhaka. Central leaders visit those divisional cities to make the program a success. One-Eleven is important in the politics of Bangladesh for many reasons. This day is especially discussed as an initiative to implement the depoliticization process. Just as One-Eleven thwarted BNP's one-sided farce election efforts, so was the mission to send politics into exile. BNP was actually ousted by a few loyalists of the BNP that day. General Moeen U Ahmed was a loyal military officer of Begum Zia. He was made army chief overtaking seven seniors. Begum Zia hoped that he would be by her side in difficult times. Dr. Fakhruddin Ahmad was appointed as the Governor of Bangladesh Bank by Begum Zia. General Amin or Brigadier Bari were all BNP supporters and anti-Awami League. Many people think that one-eleven was by the BNP. The BNP handed over power to the army-backed caretaker government on that day to escape the mass coup. But I don't think so. I think, One-Eleven was part of a depoliticization plot and a permanent settlement scheme to keep civil society in power without elections. Tarnishing politics in the name of reform. One of the objectives of One-Eleven was to portray politicians and businessmen. The main goal of the so-called political reforms of the One-Eleven government was a politics-free Bangladesh. But in the end, they could not achieve that goal. The caretaker government led by Dr. Fakhruddin was forced to hold elections. Sheikh Hasina was the main reason why the one-eleven plan failed. She was the first to speak out against the ruling government and demanded for a quick election. She protested against the spate of arrests of politicians. She was in very a difficult situation for this. A false case was filed against her. She was barred from entering the country by the unelected government. Later she was arrested and an attempt was made to implement the minus formula. But in the end Sheikh Hasina brought back democracy with her political foresight. The caretaker government was forced to hold an election.

A few days ago, Sheikh Hasina herself was describing the experience of one-eleven to the organizing secretaries of Awami League. Sheikh Hasina sat with the organizational secretaries of the party before the council. She shared her experience of that time. The army officers divided into two groups and approached the two leaders. General Amin came to Sheikh Hasina. As soon as he arrived, he was angry and slanged politicians. Sheikh Hasina was calm. She heard everything and then talked about her plans (Vision-2021, Vision-2041) for the country. On the other hand, Brigadier Bari went to Begum Zia. Khaleda was furious. She abused the army officers and threatened them. That’s it. From there, the two paths of the two leaders started. One-eleven has done the worst damage to BNP. Even in 16 years, the party could not heal that wound. That BNP wants to re-embrace the toxic grip of the caretaker government. Just as the snake entered Behula's house through the hole, there was a strange loophole in the constitutional system of the non-partisan neutral caretaker government. That loophole creates the opportunity for an unelected government to stay in power forever. In the constitutional provisions of the caretaker government, its term is 90 days. But there was no explanation as to what would happen if the government could not hold elections within 90 days. That is why Dr. Kamal Hossain said in the Supreme Court that the caretaker government can remain in power until new elections are held. It does not violate the constitution. Instead of 90 days, the caretaker government led by Dr Fakhruddin was in power for two years. It was during the caretaker government of General Moin and Dr. Fakhruddin that a consensus was established among the politicians against the caretaker government. Awami League, BNP, the two main political parties said no to the caretaker government. Later, however, the Supreme Court of the country declared the caretaker government system null and void. One-eleven is the day of destruction of democracy. BNP held mass disloyalty program on that day. Is this a coincidence or a sign? Does the BNP want to bring a one-eleven through the 10-point or state repair program? BNP wants to establish a civil government? Does BNP want the destruction of democracy? Awami League President and Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, however, is not at all upset by the opposition movement. The government is under some pressure due to money laundering, corruption, rising commodity prices, inflation, crisis in banking sector, dollar problem, global situation etc. That pressure can also be seen in the government's activities. Compared to that, the government is quite cheerful and pressure-free in the opposition movement. There are several reasons for this. First of all, the BNP-led movement has not had public involvement so far. Secondly, this movement could not go beyond the control of the government. BNP has carried out programs with the government's permission like an obedient son. Thirdly, the opposition movement gave the ruling Awami League an opportunity to organize. The party that has been in power for 14 years is uniting, forgetting the internal conflict. Leaders and workers are getting work. Awami League becomes stronger only when attacked. Forget their differences and unite. For this, the Prime Minister welcomed the opposition movement. But the government cannot be removed with this movement and Sheikh Hasina knows it better than anyone. That is why Sheikh Hasina said in the speech of the chief guest at the function organized on the occasion of the Father of the Nation's Homecoming Day on January 10, ‘Ousting Awami League from power is not easy’. After independence, Jasad protested against the Bangabandhu government. The Gana Bahini went on a rampage of terror. But Jasad could not bring down the Awami League government. In 1996, Awami League became the first government in Bangladesh to complete its term and hand over power peacefully. In 2013 and 2014, it was not possible to oust the Awami League even with arson. This movement is nothing compared to that. Therefore, according to the history of politics, the fall of this government is not possible in the movement. Only conspiracy defeats the Awami League. In 1954, the United Front led by Awami League was ousted by conspiracy. In 1975, the conspiracy put not only Awami League but also Bangladesh in a deep crisis. The 1991 election was a masterful execution of the blueprint for defeating the Awami League. The 2001 conspiracy also defeated the Awami League. Last January 7 was the completion of four years of Awami League government in its third term. Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina addressed the nation on this occasion. In that speech, she said, 'National elections will be held at the end of this year or at the beginning of next year. But since now, all the activities of anti-independence, power-hungry, looters and parasite groups have started. Their aim is to create chaos and seize state power through the back door. To disrupt the march of democracy.' The main function of tactics is to identify the real enemy. The Prime Minister has done that. He knows very well that the movement is a cover for the implementation of the conspiracy. The real work of ouster is behind the scenes.

When the Awami League is overconfident, traitors within secretly join hands with the opposition. When the warriors of Awami League are sidelined, neglected, when the party's tested warriors are cornered, when the truth is hidden in the coat of flatterers, when the opportunists surround the center of power, when the traitors put on the mask of loyalty, when the Awami League is falling in love with strangers, just then Awami League lose. Tajuddin Ahmad was exiled before 1975. Flatterers and opportunists like murderer Mostaq used to hang around Bangabandhu all the time. The spineless leaders were unopposed. Awami League had won the 1991 election before winning. Some of the overconfident Awami League leaders were busy dividing the cabinet offices. Before the 2001 elections, Awami League fell in love with the traitorous Justice Shahabuddin wearing the mask of loyalty. Depended on some spineless bureaucrats. Mistakenly thought the wrong people were on their side. What is the situation now? Are the intellectuals of the Awami League in the center of power? Or together with the reformists of one-eleven have been united? Apart from the tried and trusted bureaucrats themselves, will those who are being brought forward remain faithful in difficult times? Or they will take off the mask and show the real face? Those who are being rewarded in various ways in the administration, in the law enforcement forces, who have become a bigger Awami League than the Awami League, will they stand by in a hostile environment? HT Imam was the Cabinet Secretary in 1975. After the assassination of the Father of the Nation, he conducted the swearing-in ceremony of the illegitimate cabinet of the murderer Mostaq. History will judge whether HT Imam is traitorous or spineless. Another bureaucrat, Dr. Farashuddin Ahmed, could not stand firm on ethics in difficult times. He was the private secretary of Bangabandhu (President). The last ceremony of the Father of the Nation at the Ganabhaban on August 14 was the farewell ceremony of Dr. Farashuddin. The father of the nation was the chief guest on that occasion. Bangabandhu went back to Dhanmondi 32 after completing the ceremony with Tofail Ahmed. The next day he was supposed to go to Dhaka University. On August 15, 1975, the worst murder in history took place. What did Farashuddin do? He crossed over to the United States for higher education with no objection from the murderer Mostaq. Bureaucrats will not take up arms like Bangbir Quader Siddique. Won't sacrifice life and youth to fight resistance. How many bureaucrats left the job after 75? How many bureaucrats refused to work under the murderous Mostaq government as public servants? Only idealistic politicians fight resistance. Give up all the joys of life. Sacrifice youth on the altar of ideals. How many such leaders are there now in Awami League? Awami League government in the third term is very bureaucratic. Isn’t this bureaucracy creating a tunnel of conspiracy?

After coming to power in 1996, Awami League was looking for neutral people. Justice Shahabuddin Ahmed was elected President. MA Sayeed was made Chief Election Commissioner. The Awami League was defeated in the 2001 elections by the conspiracy of 'faithful traitors'. Now again there is a tendency to look for neutral person in Awami League. In Awami League, the people who are covered with dust and sand are not welcome. Neutrals are smart, intelligent. They are considered worthy. Smart Leader for Smart Bangladesh. But looking for smart people, where is the ideal test? Awami League will be hit again in the future if it is not checked. Sheikh Hasina is the Prime Minister for four terms. Awami League appointed three presidents under her leadership. Justice Shahabuddin was a non-political person. And Zillur Rahman and present Abdul Hamid were politicians who grew up from the grassroots. These two have proved that faith and loyalty to political ideals is the greatest integrity. Awami League has to elect a new president. Will the new president be a politician or a former bureaucrat? The success or failure of the conspiracy depends largely on this decision. After the disaster in the 2001 election, Awami League made a new committee through the council. The committee had a surprise. Abdul Jalil became the general secretary. Late Mukul Bose was one of the Joint General Secretaries. Potential leaders like Mahmudur Rahman Manna, Sultan Mohammad Mansur, Saber Hossain Chowdhury became the organizing secretary. But everyone knows what these wonderful, promising guys did during the one-eleven. Eleven-Eleven has taught us what happens if politicians are not loyal to the leadership, steadfast in their ideals. You cannot be an ideal leader only if you are talented. The only surprise in the Awami League's committee this time is to bring some of those 'geniuses' to the central committee. I am waiting to see what these geniuses who were born with a golden spoon would do in times of crisis. Some of them have recognized their caste by being awarded. The Awami League president made a formal announcement in a speech in the National Assembly and said that she does not read two newspapers. She has also explained the reason for this several times. After getting a place in the Central Committee a spokesman for depoliticization wrote a column in an English daily. How genius. They will clear the way for future conspiracies. If the house is in order, outside conspiracies cannot defeat Awami League. Awami League has never lost without treachery, greed and compromise of enemies at home. Awami League's main opponent is Awami League itself. Bangladesh's Awami League is the only political party which has not been defeated in any movement. Each time the Awami League has lost, there has been betrayal from within. The centers of power have previously been occupied by nonideological, flattering, opportunistic, hypocritical outsiders. The main reason for the disaster of Awami League in 1975, 1991, 2001 was the conspiracy from within. A united Awami League is always invincible. Because Father of the Nation Bangabandhu turned this party into a people's organization. Awami League has grown in the soil, people, water and mud of this country. The only way to defeat the Awami League is to create 'deceiver' inside the house. And this apprehension increases only when the crowd of opportunistic flatterers increases in this organization in return for Bangabandhu's sacrifice. However, one-eleven has taught Awami League a big lesson. Not Awami League but Sheikh Hasina has completely changed herself after one-eleven. The entire control of the party is in her hands. She is handling everything alone. She alone is running the government and the party. Time will tell if her strategy is right or wrong. But as a result, the conspirators are locked in a circle. Sheikh Hasina is using only what she needs. Not everyone knows everything. That is why Awami League is in power for three consecutive terms. Sheikh Hasina is now an incomprehensible page to the leaders and workers of Awami League. Sheikh Hasina's strategy during the 2014 election was unknown to Awami League. After the January 5 election, almost everyone in the Awami League was thinking about the preparations for a new election. No one in Awami League could have imagined that the 2018 election would be like this. Recently, Sheikh Hasina seems very strong, courageous and confident. A close listen to her speeches on January 7, January 10 and January 11 shows that she is very confident. She has prepared the roadmap for the upcoming elections. Which ocean the water of the movement will fall is already decided. So, it is not very easy for traitors to do something. But 14 years on, one thing is clear to political opponents and conspirators. Sheikh Hasina is the only opponent. She is the fork in the road. Lately the BNP and their controlled rumor cell have turned their guns on her. There is only one target - Sheikh Hasina. The fight ahead is therefore Sheikh Hasina's alone.